In the aftermath of the conflict in Gaza, Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has unequivocally rejected the idea of a Palestinian state, setting a challenging tone for the region's future. While Netanyahu claims that saying "no" to friends is necessary, the United States, a key ally of Israel, has consistently sought discussions with Israel on post-war scenarios and potential paths to a two-state solution. However, these attempts have faced resistance from Israel's far-right government.
During US Secretary of State Antony Blinken's recent visit to Israel, he delivered a message from Saudi Arabia, expressing readiness to recognize Israel under the condition that Israel reciprocates by acknowledging a Palestinian state and initiating a plan for its realization. Despite such diplomatic efforts, Israel's government remains opposed to this approach, and the weakened Palestinian Authority lacks the present capability to implement such a vision.
The Biden administration faces the challenge of moving beyond Netanyahu's leadership to pave the way for a more inclusive approach involving Arab states, including key players like Saudi Arabia. The first step involves transitioning Israel beyond Netanyahu's influence, a necessary precursor to engaging Arab nations, including those with ties to Hamas.
Recent polls in Israel suggest dwindling support for Netanyahu, with indications that other leaders, such as Benjamin Gantz, could gain prominence. Gantz's National Unity Party appears to be gaining traction, offering a potential shift toward considering regional peace agreements and aligning with the Biden administration's goals.
To achieve progress, the US needs to adopt a more assertive stance. President Biden must emphasize necessary policy goals, including a ceasefire and a credible day-after scenario, while making it clear that Israel cannot indefinitely pursue war without resolution. Publicly establishing red lines and condemning statements advocating reoccupation of Gaza will be crucial in conveying the US position.
Additionally, the Biden administration should press Israel to transfer tax revenue collected for the Palestinian Authority and support efforts to reform the Authority, fostering good governance and transparency. Addressing the humanitarian crisis in Gaza and ensuring urgent aid reaches the region is also a priority.
Biden should leverage his popularity in Israel to directly communicate with the public, clarifying the need for a political pathway with the Palestinians. By doing so, he can present a vision for the future, engaging with Israelis exhausted by Netanyahu's leadership.
This proactive approach aligns with US geopolitical interests and aims to balance support for Israel with consideration for the Palestinian people. Achieving a lasting peace will require navigating complex challenges, but a robust and determined effort from the Biden administration could lay the groundwork for a more stable and inclusive future in the region.